Champions League Last 16
Global 7-5
Milan vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.1%
4.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
ACM
2 - 0
SPA
86%
10%
5%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
TRI
1 - 3
ACM
19%
21%
61%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
ACM
1 - 2
INT
67%
17%
15%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
ACM
0 - 0
NAP
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
PAD
1 - 5
ACM
16%
20%
64%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
SAA
5 - 0
PHO
87%
9%
5%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
SAA
2 - 1
BNE
89%
7%
4%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
SAA
1 - 6
SAA
54%
20%
26%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
VFR
2 - 0
SAA
51%
22%
28%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
SAA
4 - 2
EBK
87%
8%
5%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |