Milan vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ACM
1 - 1
INT
22%
24%
54%
|
98 | 100 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
DZG
2 - 1
ACM
8%
16%
77%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ACM
3 - 2
PAR
79%
15%
7%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
ACM
1 - 0
GIR
75%
16%
9%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
JUV
2 - 0
ACM
45%
26%
29%
|
98 | 99 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ROM
1 - 1
NAP
34%
26%
40%
|
96 | 99 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
ROM
2 - 0
EIN
47%
22%
31%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
UDI
1 - 2
ROM
28%
26%
46%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
AZA
1 - 0
ROM
25%
25%
50%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
ROM
3 - 1
GEN
71%
19%
10%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |