Milan vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
8.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
BOL
0 - 2
ACM
32%
28%
39%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1971 |
DUN
2 - 0
ACM
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
ACM
0 - 1
MAN
82%
14%
4%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
INT
2 - 3
ACM
52%
25%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1971 |
ACM
3 - 0
DUN
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
NAP
4 - 0
ROM
49%
29%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
ROM
2 - 2
CAG
44%
28%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
ROM
3 - 1
MAN
74%
19%
8%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
VAR
1 - 3
ROM
41%
30%
29%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
JUV
2 - 1
ROM
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |