Milan vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
INT
1 - 1
ACM
61%
21%
18%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
ACM
3 - 1
VAR
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
ACM
1 - 1
STR
77%
15%
9%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1965 |
STR
2 - 1
ACM
35%
24%
41%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
ACM
2 - 2
CAG
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
ROM
1 - 1
CAT
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
BOL
3 - 1
ROM
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
ROM
0 - 0
NAP
63%
22%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
JUV
0 - 0
ROM
65%
21%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
ROM
0 - 1
LAZ
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |