Milan vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
ATL
1 - 3
ACM
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
BRE
1 - 1
ACM
37%
24%
39%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
ACM
3 - 1
INT
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
SAM
2 - 1
ACM
46%
22%
32%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
ACM
3 - 3
JUV
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
ROM
2 - 1
BRE
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
ROM
1 - 3
TOR
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
VNZ
2 - 3
ROM
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
TRI
0 - 2
ROM
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
ROM
3 - 0
LAZ
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |