Milan vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
INT
0 - 3
ACM
75%
16%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
ACM
1 - 1
ACL
62%
20%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
NAP
1 - 4
ACM
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1939 |
ACM
2 - 1
VNZ
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1939 |
JUV
2 - 2
ACM
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
ROM
2 - 0
GEN
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
FIO
1 - 0
ROM
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
ROM
0 - 0
TOR
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1939 |
MOD
1 - 0
ROM
39%
24%
38%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1939 |
ROM
1 - 0
TRI
62%
21%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |