Milan vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1933 |
INT
3 - 0
ACM
78%
13%
9%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1933 |
ACM
2 - 2
PAD
76%
13%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1933 |
ACM
4 - 0
BRE
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1933 |
GEN
2 - 2
ACM
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1933 |
ACM
3 - 1
LIV
72%
16%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1933 |
ROM
5 - 0
LAZ
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1933 |
BOL
1 - 0
ROM
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1933 |
ROM
2 - 0
LEO
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1933 |
CAS
0 - 2
ROM
27%
25%
48%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1933 |
ROM
2 - 3
JUV
44%
25%
30%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |