Milan vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
PAD
0 - 2
ACM
30%
22%
49%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
ARZ
0 - 0
ACM
15%
18%
67%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1983 |
PIS
0 - 0
ACM
21%
26%
53%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
ACM
1 - 0
ATL
82%
14%
4%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1983 |
ACM
3 - 3
VER
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
RIM
1 - 1
ATL
58%
26%
16%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
RIM
1 - 3
ROM
16%
22%
63%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
BAR
3 - 1
RIM
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
RIM
1 - 1
VIC
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
USF
2 - 2
RIM
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |