Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 7-1
Milan vs Red Boys Differdange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
10%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
3.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
ACM
4 - 0
PAL
81%
15%
5%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1972 |
RBD
1 - 4
ACM
16%
25%
59%
|
89 | 12 | 77 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1972 |
ACM
2 - 0
NAP
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1972 |
ACM
3 - 2
JUV
61%
23%
16%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1972 |
INT
0 - 1
ACM
59%
22%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Red Boys Differdange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1972 |
RBD
1 - 4
ACM
16%
25%
59%
|
12 | 89 | 77 | 0 |