Champions League Semi-finals
Global 6-1
Milan vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
LEC
1 - 1
ACM
21%
29%
49%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
ACM
0 - 0
NAP
47%
28%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1989 |
RMA
1 - 1
ACM
83%
12%
6%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
ATL
1 - 2
ACM
27%
30%
44%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
ACM
1 - 1
VER
67%
22%
11%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1989 |
CEL
2 - 0
RMA
15%
24%
61%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
RMA
3 - 0
MUR
92%
6%
2%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1989 |
RMA
1 - 1
ACM
83%
12%
6%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1989 |
FCB
0 - 0
RMA
38%
26%
36%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1989 |
RMA
4 - 1
CEL
90%
7%
3%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |