Champions League 1/16
Global 10-8
Milan vs Rapid Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.1%
16.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
ACM
5 - 0
ATL
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
70%
17%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
UDI
1 - 1
ACM
37%
23%
40%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1957 |
RAP
5 - 2
ACM
56%
19%
26%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
INT
1 - 0
ACM
41%
23%
37%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
AWM
3 - 1
RAP
37%
21%
42%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1957 |
SIM
2 - 5
RAP
43%
21%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1957 |
RAP
3 - 1
WIE
87%
8%
5%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1957 |
RAP
5 - 2
ACM
56%
19%
26%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1957 |
ACM
4 - 1
RAP
67%
16%
16%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |