Milan vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1956 |
RMA
4 - 2
ACM
67%
16%
17%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
FIO
3 - 0
ACM
33%
24%
43%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
VIC
1 - 3
ACM
17%
21%
62%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
ACM
3 - 2
GEN
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
SPA
0 - 0
ACM
18%
20%
62%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
PRO
1 - 1
TOR
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
ROM
1 - 0
PRO
73%
16%
11%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
PRO
1 - 4
TRI
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
GEN
3 - 0
PRO
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
PRO
0 - 2
PAD
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |