Milan vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
17.9%
7%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
ATL
2 - 2
ACM
22%
30%
49%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
LEC
1 - 1
ACM
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1983 |
ACM
3 - 0
REG
76%
17%
6%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
LAZ
2 - 2
ACM
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
ACM
2 - 0
PAL
70%
20%
10%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
PIS
2 - 0
USF
61%
25%
14%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
COM
1 - 0
PIS
57%
27%
16%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1983 |
PIS
1 - 2
PAL
45%
29%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
USC
0 - 0
PIS
58%
26%
16%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
PIS
0 - 1
LEC
53%
28%
19%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |