Milan vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
REG
1 - 2
ACM
21%
27%
52%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
TOR
2 - 2
ACM
29%
27%
44%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
ACM
1 - 1
FIO
59%
22%
19%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
PAR
1 - 0
ACM
51%
25%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2000 |
ACM
2 - 0
JUV
45%
25%
29%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
PIA
0 - 2
LAZ
21%
26%
53%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
PRG
2 - 0
PIA
55%
25%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
PIA
2 - 1
BAR
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
VER
1 - 0
PIA
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
PIA
2 - 2
VNZ
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |