Coppa Italia Last 16
Global 1-2
Milan vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
19.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
19.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
26.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.5%
5.2%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1993 |
INT
1 - 2
ACM
34%
27%
39%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1993 |
ACM
1 - 0
FCK
88%
9%
3%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
SAM
3 - 2
ACM
32%
26%
42%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
VIC
1 - 1
ACM
13%
24%
63%
|
94 | 57 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
54%
25%
21%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1993 |
ATL
0 - 0
PIA
71%
19%
9%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
PIA
1 - 1
NAP
24%
26%
51%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
PRG
1 - 0
PIA
29%
30%
41%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
GEN
0 - 1
PIA
72%
19%
9%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
LAZ
1 - 0
PIA
76%
17%
7%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |