Milan vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
EMP
1 - 1
ACM
27%
27%
46%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1999 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
35%
27%
38%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
SAM
2 - 2
ACM
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
ACM
1 - 0
VIC
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
ACM
3 - 0
UDI
47%
26%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
PRG
1 - 3
UDI
33%
26%
42%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1999 |
BAR
2 - 1
PRG
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
PRG
2 - 2
FIO
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
PRG
2 - 1
CAG
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
ROM
5 - 1
PRG
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |