Milan vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
JUV
2 - 1
ACM
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
ACM
2 - 0
CAG
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
AVE
1 - 0
ACM
20%
28%
52%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
ACM
0 - 0
ROM
65%
22%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
ACM
2 - 1
LAZ
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
PRG
0 - 0
LAZ
50%
27%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
UDI
1 - 2
PRG
42%
29%
28%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
PRG
1 - 1
BOL
58%
26%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
FCC
2 - 1
PRG
43%
29%
28%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
PRG
1 - 0
CAG
62%
24%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |