Milan vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1976 |
ACM
2 - 1
DBU
69%
20%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
NOV
0 - 3
ACM
14%
21%
65%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
DBU
0 - 0
ACM
53%
23%
25%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
ACM
1 - 1
ATL
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
LAZ
1 - 2
ACM
40%
27%
34%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
VIC
1 - 0
PRG
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
PRG
2 - 1
SAM
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
PRG
3 - 0
MOD
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
CAG
0 - 0
PRG
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
PRG
1 - 0
JUV
21%
25%
54%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |