Milan vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1999 |
PRG
1 - 2
ACM
29%
27%
45%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
ACM
4 - 0
EMP
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
JUV
0 - 2
ACM
59%
22%
19%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
ACM
3 - 2
SAM
59%
22%
19%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
VIC
0 - 2
ACM
33%
27%
40%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1999 |
GLA
2 - 0
PAR
28%
27%
45%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
LAZ
2 - 1
PAR
57%
22%
21%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
PAR
0 - 1
PIA
73%
18%
9%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1999 |
PAR
3 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
INT
1 - 3
PAR
50%
24%
26%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |