Milan vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ACM
5 - 1
TOR
74%
18%
8%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 1
ACM
22%
24%
54%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ACM
2 - 0
LEC
71%
18%
10%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
NAP
0 - 0
ACM
21%
24%
55%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SIE
1 - 5
ACM
19%
25%
57%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
PAL
4 - 1
BOL
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
INT
2 - 2
PAL
73%
18%
9%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
PAL
1 - 0
TOR
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAL
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PAL
5 - 2
LEC
65%
20%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |