Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 1-1
Milan vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
14.4%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1994 |
ACM
1 - 1
SAM
57%
25%
18%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1994 |
ACM
4 - 0
FCB
46%
26%
28%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1994 |
ACM
0 - 1
REG
72%
20%
9%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1994 |
ACM
3 - 0
MON
63%
24%
13%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
CAG
0 - 0
ACM
21%
28%
51%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1994 |
RAV
1 - 2
PAL
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1994 |
PAL
1 - 0
ASS
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1994 |
PAD
0 - 0
PAL
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1994 |
PAL
0 - 0
FIA
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1994 |
ASL
0 - 0
PAL
51%
27%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |