Milan vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.5%
4.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1952 |
ACM
3 - 1
FIO
84%
10%
6%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
TRI
1 - 1
ACM
19%
22%
60%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
ACM
4 - 0
PAL
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ACM
31%
23%
46%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1952 |
UNI
2 - 1
ACM
19%
21%
61%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1952 |
SAM
3 - 1
NOV
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
NOV
3 - 0
PRO
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
JUV
3 - 1
NOV
88%
8%
4%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
NOV
2 - 0
ATL
63%
19%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1952 |
NOV
2 - 1
PAD
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |