Milan vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
6.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1950 |
FIO
1 - 3
ACM
36%
23%
41%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
ASL
0 - 2
ACM
32%
23%
45%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
ACM
3 - 1
INT
65%
17%
18%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
ATL
5 - 2
ACM
28%
23%
49%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
ACM
7 - 0
TOR
53%
20%
27%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
NOV
0 - 0
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
VNZ
0 - 1
NOV
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
NOV
0 - 1
LAZ
45%
25%
31%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
INT
1 - 1
NOV
79%
13%
8%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
PAD
0 - 1
NOV
61%
20%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |