Milan vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
14.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
LAZ
2 - 2
ACM
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
ACM
0 - 1
BOL
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
LIV
0 - 2
ACM
42%
25%
34%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
ACM
3 - 1
BAR
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
GEN
2 - 0
ACM
67%
19%
15%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
TOR
1 - 1
NOV
79%
13%
9%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
NOV
2 - 0
LAZ
32%
22%
46%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
BOL
3 - 0
NOV
83%
11%
6%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
NOV
2 - 1
LIV
53%
21%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
BAR
1 - 0
NOV
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |