Milan vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
44.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ACM
0 - 0
NAP
26%
25%
49%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
GEN
0 - 2
ACM
30%
26%
44%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 0
ACM
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 2
ACM
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
ACM
2 - 1
SPA
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ACM
0 - 0
NAP
26%
25%
49%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
NAP
2 - 1
LAZ
70%
18%
13%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
NAP
2 - 0
SAS
78%
15%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
NAP
3 - 2
BOL
87%
10%
3%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
INT
1 - 0
NAP
30%
25%
45%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |