Milan vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1972 |
ACM
3 - 2
JUV
61%
23%
16%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1972 |
INT
0 - 1
ACM
59%
22%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1972 |
ACM
1 - 1
TOR
71%
19%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1972 |
JUV
0 - 1
ACM
63%
20%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1972 |
ACM
1 - 0
INT
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1972 |
NAP
1 - 1
FIO
47%
29%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1972 |
LAZ
3 - 0
NAP
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1972 |
NAP
2 - 1
BOL
53%
28%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1972 |
FIO
1 - 1
NAP
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1972 |
NAP
5 - 1
LAZ
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |