Milan vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
ACM
1 - 0
TOR
64%
23%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1972 |
ACM
1 - 1
TOT
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
VER
1 - 1
ACM
19%
29%
52%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
ROM
1 - 2
ACM
31%
30%
40%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1972 |
TOT
2 - 1
ACM
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
NAP
1 - 1
VER
57%
26%
17%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
NAP
0 - 0
FCC
65%
23%
12%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
TOR
1 - 0
NAP
54%
26%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1972 |
ROM
1 - 0
NAP
46%
28%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
NAP
1 - 1
VIC
56%
26%
18%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |