Milan vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
ACM
1 - 0
PAL
81%
12%
8%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
BOL
1 - 2
ACM
38%
22%
40%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
ACM
2 - 1
TRI
84%
10%
6%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 1956 |
ACM
3 - 1
ATH
64%
18%
19%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1956 |
ACM
4 - 2
SLB
65%
17%
19%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
NAP
1 - 1
INT
46%
23%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
TRI
1 - 2
NAP
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
NAP
2 - 0
ATL
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1956 |
PAD
1 - 1
NAP
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1956 |
INT
3 - 0
NAP
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |