Milan vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
ACM
3 - 2
VIC
81%
12%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
SAL
4 - 3
ACM
19%
22%
59%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
TOR
2 - 1
ACM
87%
8%
5%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1948 |
ACM
1 - 0
SAM
79%
12%
9%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
MOD
1 - 0
ACM
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
NAP
5 - 0
ASL
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
INT
1 - 0
NAP
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
BOL
0 - 1
NAP
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1948 |
NAP
1 - 1
ATL
51%
24%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
NAP
3 - 0
LIV
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |