Milan vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
TRI
1 - 1
ACM
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
ACM
3 - 0
ROM
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
INT
0 - 3
ACM
75%
16%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
ACM
1 - 1
ACL
62%
20%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
NAP
1 - 4
ACM
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
MOD
1 - 4
GEN
32%
23%
45%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
FIO
3 - 2
MOD
57%
22%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
MOD
1 - 2
TOR
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOD
49%
24%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
TRI
4 - 1
MOD
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |