Milan vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
17.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
ASL
1 - 2
ACM
41%
24%
36%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
ACM
2 - 4
TRI
62%
22%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1939 |
JUV
2 - 2
ACM
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1938 |
ACM
4 - 0
ANC
81%
12%
6%
|
79 | 20 | 59 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1938 |
ACM
0 - 0
ACL
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
MOD
1 - 1
NOV
57%
20%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
LAZ
2 - 1
MOD
66%
18%
17%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1939 |
MOD
1 - 1
BOL
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1938 |
MOD
3 - 2
BAR
52%
22%
27%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1938 |
LIV
1 - 0
MOD
48%
23%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |