Champions League 1/16
Global 5-3
Milan vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
ACM
1 - 0
SAM
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
VIC
0 - 0
ACM
31%
27%
42%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
MFF
2 - 1
ACM
42%
26%
33%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
ASS
0 - 3
ACM
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
ACM
2 - 0
TER
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
GÖT
2 - 3
MFF
32%
24%
45%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
MFF
3 - 1
AIK
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
MFF
2 - 1
ACM
42%
26%
33%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
ORG
0 - 5
MFF
23%
23%
54%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1968 |
MFF
1 - 0
ATV
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |