Europa League Playoffs 1/16
Global 4-0
Milan vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ACM
1 - 0
SAM
53%
24%
22%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
LUD
0 - 3
ACM
27%
25%
49%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SPA
0 - 4
ACM
18%
24%
58%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
UDI
1 - 1
ACM
36%
24%
40%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
ACM
0 - 0
LAZ
36%
26%
38%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
LUD
4 - 1
SSO
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
LUD
0 - 3
ACM
27%
25%
49%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
ARS
0 - 1
LUD
33%
26%
40%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
LUD
2 - 0
FCI
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
LUD
3 - 1
BAL
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |