Milan vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
3.78
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.9%
4.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
PAL
0 - 2
ACM
21%
22%
57%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
NAP
3 - 5
ACM
23%
23%
54%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
ACM
9 - 2
NOV
87%
9%
5%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
SAM
1 - 2
ACM
34%
23%
44%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
ACM
6 - 2
UDI
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
ASL
0 - 1
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
FIO
3 - 1
ASL
67%
18%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
ASL
0 - 1
JUV
30%
24%
47%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
ASL
0 - 0
PRO
57%
21%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
GEN
2 - 1
ASL
58%
21%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |