Europa League 1/32
Global 1-1
Milan vs Lokomotíva Košice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.7%
Win probability
3.9
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.1%
7-0
3.6%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.4%
6-0
6.4%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.2%
5-0
9.9%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
13%
4-0
12.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.6%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
4.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
4.6%
1.4%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
SPA
3 - 1
ACM
14%
22%
65%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
ACM
3 - 0
USF
81%
13%
6%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
LEC
2 - 3
ACM
1%
16%
83%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1978 |
ACM
4 - 2
JUV
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1978 |
NAP
1 - 0
ACM
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotíva Košice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
LKO
1 - 1
AUS
16%
18%
66%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
AUS
0 - 0
LKO
91%
6%
3%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
OIF
2 - 2
LKO
85%
10%
5%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
LKO
0 - 0
OIF
17%
18%
65%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | 0 |