Milan vs Lokomotiv Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
ACM
2 - 2
LAZ
54%
24%
22%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
PRG
1 - 0
ACM
29%
27%
45%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2003 |
PRG
0 - 0
ACM
32%
26%
42%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
ACM
2 - 1
MOD
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
UDI
1 - 0
ACM
29%
26%
45%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2002 |
RMA
2 - 2
LOK
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2002 |
LOK
1 - 2
BVB
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
DIN
1 - 2
LOK
37%
27%
36%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2002 |
LOK
2 - 0
BRU
32%
24%
44%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
LOK
2 - 1
ZEN
59%
23%
19%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |