Milan vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
6.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
ACM
3 - 0
LAZ
62%
20%
18%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ACM
4 - 2
BRE
75%
16%
9%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
REG
2 - 1
ACM
17%
27%
56%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
ACM
1 - 0
ROM
57%
23%
20%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
UDI
0 - 0
ACM
29%
28%
44%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ARZ
2 - 3
LIV
29%
25%
46%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 1
ASC
61%
22%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
CES
1 - 1
LIV
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
VIC
2 - 2
LIV
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
LIV
1 - 1
PAL
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |