Milan vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.1%
11.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
INT
2 - 2
ACM
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1942 |
ACM
2 - 5
LAZ
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
ACL
1 - 0
ACM
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
ACM
2 - 5
TOR
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
TRI
2 - 2
ACM
39%
27%
35%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
LIV
0 - 2
ROM
38%
26%
37%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1942 |
GEN
3 - 1
LIV
71%
16%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
LIV
1 - 2
JUV
34%
24%
42%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
BOL
7 - 1
LIV
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
LIV
2 - 0
NAP
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |