Milan vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1938 |
BAR
2 - 1
ACM
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
ACM
1 - 2
GEN
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
INT
1 - 0
ACM
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
ACM
0 - 0
NAP
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
ROM
1 - 0
ACM
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1938 |
LIV
0 - 2
NOV
55%
21%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
LAZ
2 - 1
LIV
70%
17%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
LIV
3 - 1
BOL
36%
27%
38%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
LIV
1 - 1
TOR
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
BAR
2 - 0
LIV
48%
24%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |