Milan vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
15.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
INT
2 - 0
ACM
79%
12%
8%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
ACM
1 - 1
LAZ
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
TOR
1 - 1
ACM
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1935 |
ACM
2 - 1
SAM
60%
19%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1935 |
NAP
0 - 1
ACM
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
LIV
1 - 1
ROM
29%
24%
47%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
JUV
2 - 1
LIV
81%
11%
8%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
LIV
1 - 0
USA
43%
24%
33%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1935 |
BOL
4 - 0
LIV
75%
14%
10%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1935 |
TRI
1 - 2
LIV
61%
20%
19%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |