Milan vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
CAG
2 - 2
ACM
16%
26%
58%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2006 |
BRE
1 - 2
ACM
16%
26%
58%
|
94 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
ACM
1 - 0
MES
82%
13%
5%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2006 |
AEK
1 - 0
ACM
21%
27%
52%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
EMP
0 - 0
ACM
15%
26%
59%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
ASN
1 - 3
LIL
34%
30%
36%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
LIL
1 - 1
MON
50%
26%
24%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2006 |
LIL
2 - 2
AND
48%
27%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
SOC
0 - 0
LIL
39%
29%
32%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
LIL
1 - 0
MAR
47%
26%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |