Milan vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.4%
10%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1951 |
ACM
4 - 1
ATM
73%
14%
13%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
ROM
2 - 1
ACM
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
ACM
1 - 2
LAZ
86%
9%
5%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
FIO
1 - 1
ACM
29%
23%
48%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
ACM
3 - 3
ATL
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1951 |
LIL
6 - 4
SCP
41%
21%
38%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1951 |
LIL
1 - 1
SCP
41%
21%
38%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
LIL
4 - 3
ASS
64%
18%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
ASN
1 - 2
LIL
33%
24%
44%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
NIC
4 - 1
LIL
48%
22%
30%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |