Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 6-2
Milan vs Levski Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
ACM
2 - 0
CAG
76%
16%
9%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1967 |
ACM
1 - 0
PAD
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1967 |
JUV
1 - 2
ACM
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1967 |
LEC
1 - 2
ACM
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1967 |
ACM
1 - 1
LEC
79%
14%
6%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1967 |
LSO
4 - 0
BOT
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
LSO
3 - 1
BER
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
SLI
1 - 2
LSO
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1967 |
MAR
1 - 1
LSO
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1967 |
LSO
0 - 1
LSO
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |