Milan vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
6.3%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1989 |
FCB
1 - 1
ACM
65%
21%
15%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
INT
0 - 3
ACM
54%
26%
21%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
ACM
3 - 2
JUV
47%
26%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1989 |
RMA
1 - 0
ACM
79%
13%
7%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
ASC
1 - 0
ACM
25%
29%
46%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
LEC
2 - 1
USC
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
NAP
3 - 2
LEC
80%
15%
6%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
ROM
2 - 1
LEC
70%
20%
10%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
LEC
1 - 1
BAR
59%
25%
16%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
LEC
1 - 0
FIO
39%
29%
32%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |