Coppa Italia Semi-finals
Global 0-1
Milan vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 1
ACM
17%
25%
58%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ACM
1 - 0
LAZ
52%
25%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
JUV
2 - 1
ACM
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
ACM
1 - 1
UDI
70%
19%
11%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 0
ACM
34%
26%
40%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
LAZ
1 - 2
CHI
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
LAZ
2 - 0
UDI
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ACM
1 - 0
LAZ
52%
25%
24%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
LAZ
2 - 2
SAS
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 0
LAZ
18%
24%
58%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |