Milan vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 1
ACM
33%
25%
41%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ACM
0 - 1
UDI
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 2
ACM
4%
13%
83%
|
87 | 18 | 69 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
NAP
4 - 2
ACM
65%
20%
16%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ACM
3 - 2
TOR
57%
24%
20%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LAZ
3 - 0
PES
65%
20%
16%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
LAZ
30%
28%
43%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LAZ
0 - 1
JUV
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 4
LAZ
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MON
0 - 0
LAZ
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |