Milan vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
CAT
1 - 1
ACM
18%
25%
57%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
ACM
2 - 1
PAL
70%
19%
11%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
ARS
0 - 0
ACM
64%
21%
15%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
PAR
0 - 0
ACM
21%
25%
54%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
ACM
1 - 1
LIV
74%
17%
9%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
LAZ
1 - 0
REG
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
CAG
1 - 0
LAZ
24%
26%
49%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ATL
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
EMP
1 - 0
LAZ
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
LAZ
2 - 1
SAM
57%
25%
18%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |