Milan vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
BOL
2 - 3
ACM
40%
26%
34%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
ACM
4 - 1
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
PRG
0 - 3
ACM
30%
26%
44%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2000 |
INT
1 - 1
ACM
57%
23%
20%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
ACM
2 - 2
LEC
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2000 |
VNZ
2 - 2
LAZ
18%
26%
56%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
LAZ
0 - 0
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2000 |
LAZ
5 - 0
VNZ
82%
13%
5%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
TOR
2 - 4
LAZ
21%
26%
53%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
LAZ
3 - 1
BAR
79%
14%
7%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | +1 |