Milan vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
PAD
3 - 2
ACM
35%
23%
42%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
ACM
4 - 0
TOR
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
ATL
1 - 0
ACM
26%
23%
52%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
JUV
1 - 0
ACM
49%
22%
30%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
ACM
1 - 1
UDI
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
LAZ
1 - 4
JUV
44%
23%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
FIO
2 - 0
LAZ
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
LAZ
2 - 1
ROM
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
NAP
1 - 1
LAZ
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
LAZ
3 - 1
ATL
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |