Milan vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
USA
2 - 2
ACM
39%
25%
37%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
VIC
0 - 0
ACM
34%
25%
41%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1948 |
ACM
3 - 2
TOR
42%
23%
36%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
NAP
0 - 2
ACM
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
ACM
2 - 0
SAL
89%
7%
4%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
SAM
2 - 1
LAZ
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1948 |
FIO
4 - 1
LAZ
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
LAZ
1 - 0
USA
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
VIC
2 - 1
LAZ
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
LAZ
0 - 0
TOR
24%
23%
53%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | +1 |